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DOMINO EFFECT OF MID - MARKET DEFAULTS

Recent credit events involving Tricolor Holdings, First Brands, and PrimaLend highlight growing vulnerabilities within private credit and structured finance.

While individual bank losses are substantial, the deeper concern lies in how these exposures interact within leveraged financial structures.

Fifth Third Bank absorbed a $200 million loss, JPM a $170 million charge-off, and Barclays roughly $110 million. With over 26,000 claimants in its bankruptcy and expected losses exceeding $5 billion, Tricolor showed how risks in niche lending can spread widely across major institutions.

First Brands’ bankruptcy created sizable hits across the industry:

  • Jefferies disclosed $48 million in loans and an additional $715 million tied to receivables;
  • First Citizens took an $83 million hit;
  • Zions recorded a $50 million charge-off;
  • South State and Santander also reported tens of millions in associated losses.

With liabilities over $11 billion, First Brands demonstrates how shared credit exposures can ripple across both regional and national lenders.

PrimaLend owes $186.5 million in senior debt, $75 million in unsecured notes, and $24.6 million in subordinated debt. CIBC, South State, and other midsize banks were exposed across multiple layers, highlighting how one borrower’s failure can impair several tiers of capital structure simultaneously.

The central risk is not the direct losses already reported. It is the potential for far larger losses embedded in collateralized loan obligations, mezzanine structures, and private credit funds that often use 5x to 10x leverage.

These vehicles can turn single-company failures into disproportionately large shocks, especially when the same borrowers appear in multiple portfolios. The failures of Tricolor Holdings, First Brands, and PrimaLend reveal that credit risks are more concentrated and more interconnected than many institutions acknowledge.

As private credit continues to expand, leveraged structures amplify both returns and vulnerabilities.

To prevent isolated corporate collapses from evolving into broader financial instability, the market must prioritize transparency, disciplined underwriting, and a clearer understanding of how leveraged vehicles magnify risk.

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