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Is crash coming? Bitcoin is up 45% - why?

With the Trump presidency, there will be a rise of liquidity in the beginning of 2025 to fund all of the new programs, followed by contraction of the liquidity later in the year with focus on debt reduction by Elon and Vivek.

What to watch in 2025:

- Sticky inflation due to supply chain disruption with new policy.
- Corp debt refinancing last in 2025.
- Collapse in consumer spending.
- Credit Card debt delinquencies.
- Crash in bond market.
- Maturity of commercial debt.

Addressing these issues proactively could indeed help mitigate potential negative impacts.

Here are a few suggestions on what actions could be taken:

1. Supply Chain Resilience:
Advocate for policies that encourage diversification of supply chains and investments in domestic manufacturing to tackle sticky inflation caused by disruptions.

2. Debt Management Strategies: Encourage corporations to engage in early refinancing and discussions with creditors to manage corporate debt effectively before the expected refinancing wave in 2025.

3. Consumer Support Programs: Propose initiatives aimed at bolstering consumer spending, such as targeted stimulus measures or support for low-income households to help stave off a collapse in consumer demand.

4. Financial Education: Promote financial literacy campaigns focusing on credit management to address rising credit card debt delinquencies and encourage responsible borrowing practices among consumers.

5. Monetary Policy Adjustments: Discuss the need for central banks to consider adaptive monetary policies that can respond to market conditions without triggering a bond market crash.

6. Commercial Real Estate Awareness: Highlight the importance of monitoring commercial debt maturities and engaging stakeholders to prepare for potential challenges in that sector.

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